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Four operating environments where being late is the whole problem.

These are the domains IPAC is deepest in. Each brings its own baseline and its own shape of decision. Everything underneath is the same engine. We would rather be specific about four than plausible about sixteen.

SCI

Supply Chain Intelligence

A supply chain fails at the seams. A certificate that lapsed. A lot stuck behind one missing document. A processor that quietly became a single point of failure. None of it announces itself, and all of it is discoverable weeks before it becomes a recall, a hold, or a customer conversation.

ipac / supply-chain / shipments?status=customs_hold

Clear shipments held at customs

DEC-1191 · Guayas corridor · broker Andes Logistics

HIGH
3
Shipments held
6d
Longest hold
84%
Confidence
1
Document gap
Ingredient
Cocoa mass
HS code
1803.10.00
Why this matters

3 shipments have been held for three days or more, accruing delay and demurrage exposure. One lot is missing a certificate of analysis, which is what the broker is waiting on.

Recommended action

Escalate documentation to the broker and confirm release requirements per lot, starting with LB-2291-C.

Risk of inaction

Continued hold accrues storage cost and threatens downstream delivery commitments.

Review DecisionView Evidence3 supporting records

Held lots

84%· Moderate
Shipment lots currently held at customs, with plant, days held, document completeness, and risk band.
LotHeldDocs
LB-2291-CPlanta Vinces 046d3 / 4
LB-2288-APlanta Vinces 044d4 / 4
LB-2274-FCoop. Guayas3d4 / 4

Every lot carries a public verification address, so a buyer can confirm origin and certification without an account.

Representative interface, demonstration data.

The decision
Whether to qualify, hold, quarantine, or release, and which supplier concentration to reduce before it becomes a single point of failure.
What it reads
Supplier certifications and expiry, shipment status and customs holds, incident reports, denied-party and country-risk baselines, and the documents that evidence them.
What it produces
A decision record naming the suppliers affected, the recommended restriction, the compliance exposure of waiting, and the certification evidence behind it.

OGX

Energy Intelligence

Energy decisions are made against a clock that nobody controls. The forecast shifts, the advisory updates, and the window to shut in or reroute closes while the analysis is still being assembled. Being right after the window has closed is indistinguishable from being wrong.

ipac / ogx / decisions / OGX-2294
Active event

Hurricane Bianca — Gulf Coast

HIGH
17
Assets impacted
$284M
Modeled exposure
87%
Confidence
18:00Z
Decision window closes
Track · 72h coneNHC · 06Z
Assets
Sabine Pass, Grand Isle 42
Operator
Meridian Gulf
Why this matters

Seventeen assets fall inside the 72-hour cone, and two operators have already begun evacuation. The forecast has shifted east on each of the last three advisories.

Recommended action

Reduce Sabine Pass exposure and reroute Henry Hub nominations before 18:00 UTC.

Risk of inaction

A shut-in ordered after the window closes forfeits the reroute and leaves the position exposed through landfall.

Open decision packetView evidence (9)9 supporting records

Signal thread

87%· Moderate· ▲ worsening

Gulf Coast tropical system — Meridian Gulf assets

first Aug 17 · latest 12m ago · 9 observations

  • Bianca upgraded to Category 3
    NHC · 12m
  • Two platforms report evacuation
    BSEE · 41m
  • Pipeline pressure anomaly — TX-4
    PHMSA · 1h
  • Cone shifts 40nm east of 00Z track
    NOAA · 2h

Nine observations across four sources, folded into one evolving thread. Not nine separate alerts about the same storm.

Representative interface, demonstration data.

The decision
Which assets to shut in, reroute, or de-risk while a developing event still leaves room to act.
What it reads
Hurricane and severe-weather tracks, regulatory and incident filings, pipeline and facility state, operator activity, and regional constraint.
What it produces
A time-bound action on named assets, with modeled exposure, confidence, and the observation trail that produced it.

RET

Public Retirement Intelligence

A public plan rarely fails on a single number. It fails when two survivable exposures land in the same window: a mandate that has trailed for four quarters, and a capital call that collides with a benefit cycle. The board sees them as separate agenda items eight weeks apart.

ipac / retirement / briefing

Board briefing — Cascade County Employees’ Retirement System

Situation briefing for 12 September 2026

Posture Guarded · 22 days to meeting · est. funded ratio 78.4%

Funded ratio estimated from the last actuarial valuation rolled forward on reported returns. Not an actuarial opinion.

Situation summary

The plan is not in distress, but two exposures now compound: a fixed income mandate that has trailed for four quarters, and a January window where private capital calls land on the heaviest benefit outflow of the year. Neither is urgent alone. Together they narrow the board’s options if either moves before the next meeting.

Top three risks for the board’s attention

  1. 1.
    highManager underperformance

    Core fixed income mandate has trailed benchmark for four consecutive quarters

    Cumulative shortfall of 310bps against the Bloomberg Aggregate since Q3. Tracking error is inside guidelines, so this is a selection outcome rather than a mandate breach.

    Δ since last meeting: +90bps shortfall since last meeting

  2. 2.
    highLiquidity stress

    Private markets capital calls collide with the January benefit payment cycle

    Three funds have signaled calls inside the same 30-day window that carries the largest benefit outflow of the year. Unlevered cash covers it; the rebalancing sleeve does not.

    Δ since last meeting: New since last meeting

  3. 3.
    mediumVendor concentration

    Custodian and two managers share a single reporting vendor

    A vendor outage would degrade valuation reporting across 38% of plan assets at once. No incident has occurred. The concentration itself is the exposure.

    Δ since last meeting: Unchanged since last meeting

Decisions for this meeting

  • Decide this meetingboard visibility: full

    Core fixed income mandate — continue, watch, or put on notice

    Recommend: place on formal watch with a two-quarter review trigger rather than terminate into a widening spread environment.

    14 supporting records · analysis attached

Representative interface, demonstration data.

The decision
Which mandates to review, which liquidity collisions to resolve, and what has to reach the board before the next meeting.
What it reads
Manager performance and mandate drift, stale valuations, liquidity and capital-call timing, vendor concentration, and the governance calendar.
What it produces
A board-ready situation briefing: posture, the three risks that warrant the board's attention, and the analysis attached to each.

CI

Counterparty Intelligence

Counterparty risk concentrates quietly. A control change filed in another jurisdiction, a director shared with a restricted name, a line drifting toward its limit. Each one is defensible alone; the exposure is in the combination, and the combination is what nobody is watching.

ipac / ci / exposures / halvorsen-trading

Halvorsen Trading

Active · onboarded 2024-03-11 · reviewed 2026-05-02

HIGH
$412M
Gross exposure
$338M
Net exposure
94%
Limit utilization
1
Limit breaches
Ultimate parent
Halvorsen Holding AS
Jurisdictions
NO · SG · MT
Why this matters

A control change filed in Malta moves 22% of the ownership chain behind an entity that shares a director with a counterparty already on the restricted list. Utilization reached 94% of limit in the same week.

Recommended action

Freeze new lines at the current notional and require refreshed beneficial-ownership evidence before the next roll.

Risk of inaction

An unreviewed control change inside a 94%-utilized line is the shape of exposure that is discovered after it becomes a loss, not before.

Open case fileRequest evidenceEscalate11 supporting records

Exposure by counterparty

78%· Moderate
  • Halvorsen Trading$412M
    94% · over
  • Meridian Gulf Energy$286M
    71%
  • Brightwater Capital$198M
    55%
  • Nordkap Shipping$141M
    48%

Limit utilization against the approved line. Concentration is read across the whole book, not one counterparty at a time.

Representative interface, demonstration data.

The decision
Whether to onboard, escalate, limit, or exit a counterparty, and where exposure is quietly concentrating across the book.
What it reads
Ownership and control graphs, sanctions and adverse-media signals, regulatory actions, and concentration across the existing book.
What it produces
A case file with the reviewed evidence, the exposure position, and a documented decision trail that holds up in diligence.

Two more operating models run on the same engine.

Both are live and in use. Both are earlier in their curve than the four above, and we would rather tell you that than present six domains as equally deep and let you discover the difference in a pilot.


FOIFamily Office Intelligence
Property, portfolio, debt, and manager oversight across a multi-entity structure.

RXReinsurance Intelligence
Treaty exposure and catastrophe accumulation, priced against the event that tests it.

Bring us a decision your team struggles to see early enough.

We will work it in your domain, with your signals, and show you the record the decision would have left behind.