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Intelligence for decisions that carry consequences.

IPAC reads operational, financial, and external signals continuously, and returns the one thing every other system leaves to you: what changed, what it puts at risk, and what to do about it while there is still room to act.

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ipac / supply-chain / command-center
Elevated risksynthesized 06:14

Three conditions require attention.

Current operations are stable; forward risk is elevated. Supplier certification failure, concentration exposure at a single processor, and shipments held at customs are driving the posture.

3
Decisions requiring attention
4
High-risk suppliers
2
Unresolved evidence gaps
1
Open incidents
CRITICAL95%· High

Resolve supplier certification failure

Affected
3 suppliers
Expired now
1
Expiring ≤30d
4
Why this matters

3 suppliers lack valid certification evidence on file, creating a material compliance and continuity exposure.

Recommended action

Temporarily restrict new orders from uncertified suppliers while updated evidence is collected.

Risk of inaction

Potential compliance failure, shipment hold, and customer assurance risk.

Review DecisionView Evidence5 supporting records

What changed · since yesterday

  • Suppliers without valid certification+2worse
  • Shipments held at customs−1better
  • Top-supplier dependency+3 ptsworse
  • Open incidents0unchanged

What IPAC is watching next

  • Planta Vinces 04 — HACCP renewalin 9d
  • Guayas corridor — port congestion windowin 3d
  • Lot LB-2291-C — customs release deadlinein 16h

IPAC Command Center. Representative interface, demonstration data.

Another dashboard isn't the answer.

Nobody in a consequential operating environment is short of data. The regulatory feed arrives. The incident report arrives. The counterparty filing, the weather model, the supplier document. All of it arrives, most of it on time.

What does not arrive is the judgment. Which of those things actually changed something. What it puts at risk. Whether it can wait until Thursday. And when the call is questioned six months later, what the reasoning was at the time.

A dashboard hands that work back to the operator, arranged more neatly. It moves the problem; it does not finish it. So organizations buy another one, and the number of screens goes up while the number of defensible decisions stays exactly where it was.

More signal has never once produced more clarity. IPAC is built the other way round: it starts from the decision that has to be made and works backwards to the evidence that justifies it.

The output is the decision, not the dashboard.

One path from raw signal to a decision that holds up.

Every domain on IPAC runs the same path. It is why a call in a supply chain is comparable to a call in a portfolio, and why the platform has not turned into six unrelated products behind one login.

  1. 01

    Signal

    Observations arrive continuously and fold into one evolving thread per condition. Not a new alert every day for the same problem.

    government · commercial · your own record

  2. 02

    Context

    Each thread is bound to the entities it actually touches: this supplier, this asset, this mandate, this counterparty.

    entity graph

  3. 03

    Exposure

    Scoring frameworks convert the condition into what it puts at risk, against a baseline for that domain.

    scored against baseline

  4. 04

    Recommendation

    A specific, time-bound action, with the confidence behind it and the cost of not taking it.

    confidence · risk of inaction

  5. 05

    Evidence

    The action, its inputs, and the records it relied on are captured as one versioned decision record.

    versioned · reviewable · durable

Most risk is legible before it is urgent.

The gap is rarely that a signal was missing. It is that the signals were individually unremarkable, arrived on different days, and nobody was holding them together.

ipac / supply-chain / predictions
TrajectoryRising+12 risk points week over week
46%
Disruption probability
118
Risk points
9
Active signals
2
Signal correlations
Disruption probability · last 15 snapshots21% → 46%

Signal correlations

  • Supply Chain Disruption Risk

    CRITICAL
    81%· Moderate3d windowweather + logistics

    Weather event affecting facility operations combined with transportation delays.

    Activate contingency suppliers and notify downstream customers.

  • Margin Pressure Risk

    HIGH
    74%· Moderate7d windowtrade + logistics

    Commodity price movement combined with logistics disruption may compress margins.

    Review contract pricing terms and hedge exposure.

What IPAC is watching next

  • Planta Vinces 04 — HACCP renewalin 9d
  • Guayas corridor — port congestion windowin 3d
  • Lot LB-2291-C — customs release deadlinein 16h

Neither correlation above would have raised an alert on its own.

Predictions surface. Representative interface, demonstration data.

01Correlation across weak signals
A commodity move is noise. A logistics delay is noise. Inside the same seven-day window against the same supplier, they are margin pressure. IPAC carries named composite rules that fire on the combination, not the parts.
4 composite rules · 3 to 30 day windows
02Trajectory, not snapshot
Posture is scored on every run and kept. What matters is not today's number but its direction and rate of change against the last thirty, which is what turns a reading into a warning.
disruption probability · week-over-week delta
03Dated forward watch
Certifications expire, treaties renew, covenants get tested, boards meet. IPAC holds the calendar of things that will become decisions and surfaces them while there is still room to act.
next material event · time to act
04Scenario simulation
Ask what happens if a supplier fails, a port closes, or a certification is suspended. IPAC walks the entity graph to the shipments and clients actually downstream and returns a blast radius with a recovery window.
graph-backed · recovery window · stated basis

These are scored heuristics over your own graph, not a forecasting model with a track record. The recovery windows are industry ranges and are labeled as such in the product. IPAC will tell you what is converging and how much room you have left; it will not tell you what Tuesday holds.

What comes out

This is the output.

Not a chart that has moved. A named action, on named entities, with the confidence behind it, the cost of waiting, and the records it stands on. Four domains, one decision architecture.

Three lots have sat at customs past the third day, one of them short a certificate of analysis. IPAC names the lot the broker is actually waiting on.

ipac / supply-chain / shipments?status=customs_hold

Clear shipments held at customs

DEC-1191 · Guayas corridor · broker Andes Logistics

HIGH
3
Shipments held
6d
Longest hold
84%
Confidence
1
Document gap
Ingredient
Cocoa mass
HS code
1803.10.00
Why this matters

3 shipments have been held for three days or more, accruing delay and demurrage exposure. One lot is missing a certificate of analysis, which is what the broker is waiting on.

Recommended action

Escalate documentation to the broker and confirm release requirements per lot, starting with LB-2291-C.

Risk of inaction

Continued hold accrues storage cost and threatens downstream delivery commitments.

Review DecisionView Evidence3 supporting records

Held lots

84%· Moderate
Shipment lots currently held at customs, with plant, days held, document completeness, and risk band.
LotHeldDocs
LB-2291-CPlanta Vinces 046d3 / 4
LB-2288-APlanta Vinces 044d4 / 4
LB-2274-FCoop. Guayas3d4 / 4

Every lot carries a public verification address, so a buyer can confirm origin and certification without an account.

Representative IPAC interfaces reproduced from the shipped product. Demonstration data throughout.

Built for scrutiny

A recommendation without evidence is just another opinion.

Anything IPAC recommends can be opened. The factors that produced it and their weight. The sources, and when each was last retrieved. The confidence, stated as a number. The documents cited, with their digest, their version, and their review state, including the one that is missing.

The record is versioned, so superseding a document does not rewrite the decision that relied on the earlier one. Six months later the question “what did we know, and when” has an answer that does not depend on anyone’s memory.

ipac / supply-chain / decisions / DEC-1184 / basis

Basis · Resolve supplier certification failure

DEC-1184 · 2026-08-20 06:14 UTC
Contributing factors
  • certification lapse
    critical
  • supplier concentration
    high
  • customs hold duration
    medium
  • country risk baseline
    low
Evidence cited
3 items · 1 unresolved gap · 100% integrity checked
  • HACCP certificate — Planta Vinces 04
    v3 · reviewed · superseded v2 retained
    77ff05b2…a5035dverified
  • Organic certification — Guayas cooperative
    v1 · reviewed
    c41a9de0…12bb47verified
  • Fair Trade renewal — expired 2026-07-30
    gap · awaiting replacement
    evidence gap
Retained activity
  • 06:14Decision synthesized · confidence 95%
  • 05:02Ingestion run completed · 4 sources · 0 failures
  • Aug 18Evidence review state set to reviewed · J. Ruiz
  • Aug 17Certificate v3 uploaded · digest recorded
Chain anchor
entry 4,182 · prev 4,181
9b3c17aef2d40c8e5a71b0d94f2c6e8813ab5d7f0c2e94a16b3d8f5027ce41ab

Append-only SHA-256 chain. Each entry chains to the previous, so a later alteration is detectable. Internal, not a public ledger.

Decision basis view. Representative interface, demonstration data.

Some claims have to hold up for people who will never log in.

A buyer, an auditor, a regulator. IPAC publishes a single claim at an unguessable address: origin, lot, plant, certifications, document digest. Nothing else about the tenant it came from. Verification tokens are never returned by list endpoints without authorization.

How the security model is built
/verify/51595c91…
Verified
Confirmed 2026-08-15 · 04:12 UTC
Origin
Ecuador — Guayas
HS code
1801.00.00
Lot number
LB-2291-C
Processing plant
Planta Vinces 04
Certifications
Organic · Fair Trade · HACCP
Document hash (SHA-256)
77ff05b24dc3c187acb74031955de4811ebfbcb22c566c17f69e79f9bea5035d
Download certificate

No account. No tenant data. One claim.

Public verification page at /verify/:token.

Independently examined under SOC 2 Type 1 and Type 2 by Sensiba.Type 2 period March 5 to June 5, 2024Scope and limits

Built by operators. Powered by SGS.

IPAC is developed by Schubring Global Solutions, whose work sits across security, risk, intelligence, and technology for organizations where being approximately right is not the same as being defensible.

That shows up in the product as a bias: state the limit instead of softening it, attach the evidence instead of asserting the conclusion, and never claim a capability the codebase does not have.

About IPAC and SGS

Bring us a decision your team struggles to see early enough.

We will walk it end to end: the signals that would have surfaced it, the exposure it carries, and the record the call would have left behind. If IPAC would not have caught it earlier, we will say so.